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Signal dossier · Q4 2025

C logoC

Citigroup · Financials

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale
SELL
−7
2Q BUY
on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL
2 tracked managers selling. MODERATE sell signal.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
−7
Buy component
+12
Dissent penalty
−18
Unanimity bonus
+5
Quality differential
-11
Info density
+5
Buyers / Sellers
1 / 2
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
−7
Smart money (13F)
+5
Insider activity (Form 4)
+0
Track record (CAGR)
-2
Trend streak
+5
Concentration
+4
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−18
− Crowding penalty
−0
Owners: 1·Buyers: 8·Sellers: 13·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +11.5% ±3%·How this is computed
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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling C each quarter — last 2 years.

2 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying
'24 Q1
'24 Q2
'24 Q3
'24 Q4
'25 Q1
1
'25 Q2
1
'25 Q3
'25 Q4
Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth falling
-3 owners over 8Q
4
2
3
3
1
2
2
1
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25

Fewer superinvestors hold this name than 8 quarters ago — rotation out. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on C for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Consecutive-quarter BUYERS

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on C — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
8 buys · 13 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: STRONG SELL
Q4 2025(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Duquesne Family Office
0.00%
Oakmark Funds
1.50%
Q3 2025(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Oakmark Funds
4.00%
Duquesne Family Office
1.30%
Q2 2025(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
1.40%
Oakmark Funds
3.70%
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Q1 2025(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Gotham Asset Management
0.50%
Berkshire Hathaway
0.00%
Duquesne Family Office
0.00%
Oakmark Funds
1.80%
Q4 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Berkshire Hathaway
0.40%
Duquesne Family Office
0.10%
Q3 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Duquesne Family Office
0.70%
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Q2 2024(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Oakmark Funds
1.70%
Duquesne Family Office
0.00%
Gotham Asset Management
0.50%
Scion Asset Management
0.00%
Q1 2024(1 move)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Scion Asset Management
7.60%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Latest news

Recent headlines for C — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on C

Each bar is one manager’s position size in C as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Deep value, management turnaround.

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for C, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 1 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 1 institutional holdings and the -7 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
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Share the C signal

The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.