Big Bets · size × conviction
Where the best investors bet biggest.
The most concentrated high-conviction positions across the 30 tracked superinvestors. Position size multiplied by our signed ConvictionScore — so a bet only ranks high if it has both size and consensus behind it.
Bet score = position% × ConvictionScore (buy-side only). A 20% position at +80 conviction beats a 20% position at +30 conviction, and both beat a 3% "spray and pray" position at +90. Dataroma lists top holdings. HoldLens tells you which of those top holdings are actually backed by the cross-manager signal.
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| # | Manager | Ticker | Position | Bet score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Hohn TCI Fund Management | GE GE Aerospace | 18.2% | 746 |
| 2 | Michael Burry Scion Asset Management | BABA Alibaba | 21.3% | 703 |
| 3 | Mohnish Pabrai Pabrai Investment Funds | BABA Alibaba | 18.4% | 607 |
| 4 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | FICO Fair Isaac | 18.7% | 598 |
| 5 | Mohnish Pabrai Pabrai Investment Funds | MU Micron Technology | 24.6% | 492 |
| 6 | Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors | SCHW Charles Schwab | 17.8% | 463 |
| 7 | Prem Watsa Fairfax Financial | OXY Occidental Petroleum | 13.5% | 446 |
| 8 | David Einhorn Greenlight Capital | GRBK Green Brick Partners | 28.7% | 344 |
| 9 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | MSCI MSCI Inc | 15.3% | 337 |
| 10 | Li Lu Himalaya Capital | BABA Alibaba | 9.7% | 320 |
| 11 | Chuck Akre Akre Capital Management | MA Mastercard | 17.8% | 231 |
| 12 | Michael Burry Scion Asset Management | JD JD.com | 17.6% | 229 |
| 13 | Howard Marks Oaktree Capital | TRMD Torm plc | 14.8% | 222 |
| 14 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | HEI HEICO Corp | 8.4% | 210 |
| 15 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | MCO Moody's | 22.4% | 202 |
| 16 | David Rolfe Wedgewood Partners | FICO Fair Isaac | 5.9% | 189 |
| 17 | Stanley Druckenmiller Duquesne Family Office | NVDA NVIDIA | 11.4% | 182 |
| 18 | David Tepper Appaloosa Management | BABA Alibaba | 5.4% | 178 |
| 19 | Stanley Druckenmiller Duquesne Family Office | COHR Coherent | 6.8% | 163 |
| 20 | David Tepper Appaloosa Management | NVDA NVIDIA | 10.2% | 163 |
| 21 | Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway | OXY Occidental Petroleum | 4.9% | 162 |
| 22 | Carl Icahn Icahn Enterprises | OXY Occidental Petroleum | 4.8% | 158 |
| 23 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | BN Brookfield Corp | 9.5% | 152 |
| 24 | Tom Slater Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth) | NVDA NVIDIA | 9.4% | 150 |
| 25 | Prem Watsa Fairfax Financial | MU Micron Technology | 7.4% | 148 |
| 26 | François Rochon Giverny Capital | MA Mastercard | 11.2% | 146 |
| 27 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | MA Mastercard | 11.2% | 146 |
| 28 | Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors | MCO Moody's | 14.2% | 128 |
| 29 | Terry Smith Fundsmith | MA Mastercard | 9.8% | 127 |
| 30 | John Armitage Egerton Capital | SCHW Charles Schwab | 4.7% | 122 |
| 31 | Chuck Akre Akre Capital Management | MCO Moody's | 13.4% | 121 |
| 32 | Chuck Akre Akre Capital Management | V Visa | 14.2% | 114 |
| 33 | Chase Coleman Tiger Global Management | NVDA NVIDIA | 7.1% | 114 |
| 34 | Howard Marks Oaktree Capital | GRBK Green Brick Partners | 9.4% | 113 |
| 35 | John Armitage Egerton Capital | NVDA NVIDIA | 6.4% | 102 |
| 36 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | V Visa | 12.8% | 102 |
| 37 | Andreas Halvorsen Viking Global Investors | NVDA NVIDIA | 6.2% | 99 |
| 38 | Chris Hohn TCI Fund Management | V Visa | 11.8% | 94 |
| 39 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill | 21.4% | 86 |
| 40 | Chris Hohn TCI Fund Management | MCO Moody's | 9.4% | 85 |
| 41 | Li Lu Himalaya Capital | BAC Bank of America | 27.4% | 82 |
| 42 | Stephen Mandel Lone Pine Capital | NVDA NVIDIA | 5.1% | 82 |
| 43 | François Rochon Giverny Capital | V Visa | 9.8% | 78 |
| 44 | Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors | V Visa | 9.4% | 75 |
| 45 | Polen Capital Polen Capital Management | MA Mastercard | 5.6% | 73 |
| 46 | David Rolfe Wedgewood Partners | V Visa | 8.4% | 67 |
| 47 | David Rolfe Wedgewood Partners | TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | 9.1% | 64 |
| 48 | Polen Capital Polen Capital Management | V Visa | 7.8% | 62 |
| 49 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | QSR Restaurant Brands International | 14.8% | 59 |
| 50 | Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway | CB Chubb | 2.9% | 58 |
ConvictionScore is HoldLens's unified −100..+100 signal combining smart-money consensus, insider activity, track record, trend streak, concentration, and dissent. Only positions with positive conviction are shown (sells are on /sells). A manager's own holding company (e.g. IEP for Icahn) is excluded.
Lone-wolf big bets
Concentration ≥8% · ownership ≤3
Where a tier-1 manager is betting big on a stock almost nobody else tracks. Fewer eyes = more potential alpha — and far more risk. These are the contrarian concentration plays where consensus hasn't arrived yet.
| # | Manager | Ticker | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Einhorn Greenlight Capital | GRBK Green Brick Partners | 28.7% |
| 2 | Li Lu Himalaya Capital | BAC Bank of America | 27.4% |
| 3 | Mohnish Pabrai Pabrai Investment Funds | MU Micron Technology | 24.6% |
| 4 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill | 21.4% |
| 5 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | FICO Fair Isaac | 18.7% |
| 6 | Chris Hohn TCI Fund Management | GE GE Aerospace | 18.2% |
| 7 | Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors | SCHW Charles Schwab | 17.8% |
| 8 | Michael Burry Scion Asset Management | JD JD.com | 17.6% |
| 9 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | MSCI MSCI Inc | 15.3% |
| 10 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | QSR Restaurant Brands International | 14.8% |
| 11 | Howard Marks Oaktree Capital | TRMD Torm plc | 14.8% |
| 12 | Prem Watsa Fairfax Financial | OXY Occidental Petroleum | 13.5% |
| 13 | Jeffrey Ubben ValueAct Capital | DIS The Walt Disney Company | 12.4% |
| 14 | Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway | BAC Bank of America | 11.2% |
| 15 | Bill Ackman Pershing Square Capital | BN Brookfield Corp | 9.5% |
| 16 | Howard Marks Oaktree Capital | GRBK Green Brick Partners | 9.4% |
| 17 | David Rolfe Wedgewood Partners | TSM Taiwan Semiconductor | 9.1% |
| 18 | Terry Smith Fundsmith | NOVO Novo Nordisk | 8.4% |
| 19 | Dev Kantesaria Valley Forge Capital | HEI HEICO Corp | 8.4% |
Why this beats Dataroma
- Combined score, not just size. Dataroma shows each manager's top holdings in isolation. HoldLens multiplies position size by the cross-manager ConvictionScore so a 20% bet in a +80 consensus name ranks above a 20% bet in a −20 name.
- Lone-wolf detection. A separate ranking surfaces concentrated positions in low-ownership names — the anti-crowding play where a tier-1 manager found something before the consensus did.
- One click to full thesis. Click any ticker to see the full signed −100..+100 ConvictionScore breakdown, insider activity, and five-year projected return.