Signal dossier · Q4 2025

HLT

Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Discretionary

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale

SELL

−10

on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL

1 tracked manager selling. MODERATE sell signal.

Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100

Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding

−10

Buy component

+-3

Dissent penalty

−7

Unanimity bonus

Quality differential

-6

Info density

Buyers / Sellers

2 / 1

ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown

13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.

−10

Smart money (13F)

Insider activity (Form 4)

Track record (CAGR)

-6

Trend streak

Concentration

Contrarian bonus

Event signal (8-K)

− Dissent penalty

−7

− Crowding penalty

−0

Owners: 1·Buyers: 7·Sellers: 10·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +8.9% ±0.1%·How this is computed

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Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat

+0 owners over 8Q

Q1 '24

Q2 '24

Q3 '24

Q4 '24

Q1 '25

Q2 '25

Q3 '25

Q4 '25

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on HLT — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity

7 buys · 10 sells across tracked 13F filings

Net signal: STRONG SELL

Q4 2025(3 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Buy (new)	+58K	0.10%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 9.00%	+56K	0.10%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 9.00%	-12K	0.00%

Q3 2025(2 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Reduce 45.00%	-487K	0.10%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 15.00%	-22K	0.10%

Q2 2025(2 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 33.00%	+269K	0.20%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 12.00%	-20K	0.10%

Q1 2025(3 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 14.00%	+98K	0.20%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Reduce 45.00%	-2.44M	5.70%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 40.00%	-112K	0.10%

Q4 2024(2 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 112%	+378K	0.20%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Reduce 26.00%	-1.93M	10.70%

Q3 2024(3 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 29.00%	+75K	0.10%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Reduce 18.00%	-1.58M	13.20%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 14.00%	-47K	0.10%

Q2 2024(2 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 168%	+164K	0.10%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 53.00%	-382K	0.10%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Latest news

Recent headlines for HLT — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on HLT

Consumer Discretionary sector →

Each bar is one manager’s position size in HLT as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Bill Ackman

9.1%

“Asset-light hotel franchise.”

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for HLT, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis

Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 1 institutional filers

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 1 institutional holdings and the -10 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings

Same sector · Consumer Discretionary

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All Consumer Discretionary names →

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The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.