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Signal dossier · Q4 2025

SPOT logoSPOT

Spotify · Communication

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale
SELL
−8
on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL
1 tracked manager selling. MODERATE sell signal.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
−8
Buy component
+4
Dissent penalty
−13
Unanimity bonus
+1
Quality differential
+3
Info density
+7
Buyers / Sellers
4 / 1
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
−8
Smart money (13F)
+7
Insider activity (Form 4)
+0
Track record (CAGR)
-6
Trend streak
+1
Concentration
+2
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−13
− Crowding penalty
−0
Owners: 1·Buyers: 10·Sellers: 19·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +9.3% ±2.8%·How this is computed
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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling SPOT each quarter — last 2 years.

1 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying
'24 Q1
'24 Q2
'24 Q3
'24 Q4
'25 Q1
'25 Q2
'25 Q3
1
'25 Q4
Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat
+0 owners over 8Q
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on SPOT — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
10 buys · 19 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: STRONG SELL
Q4 2025(5 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Lone Pine Capital
0.10%
Tiger Global Management
4.10%
Maverick Capital
0.80%
Polen Capital Management
0.20%
Gotham Asset Management
0.10%
Q3 2025(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Polen Capital Management
0.00%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
4.50%
Q2 2025(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
0.00%
Gotham Asset Management
0.10%
Polen Capital Management
0.10%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
5.50%
Q1 2025(6 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Egerton Capital
0.80%
Lone Pine Capital
0.00%
Viking Global Investors
0.30%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen Capital Management
0.10%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
5.20%
Q4 2024(6 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Tiger Global Management
2.10%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen Capital Management
0.10%
Lone Pine Capital
3.00%
Viking Global Investors
2.20%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
4.50%
Q3 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
3.50%
Gotham Asset Management
0.10%
Lone Pine Capital
4.30%
Q2 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
0.60%
Gotham Asset Management
0.00%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
4.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Latest news

Recent headlines for SPOT — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on SPOT

Each bar is one manager’s position size in SPOT as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Audio network effects + profitability turn.

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for SPOT, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 1 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 1 institutional holdings and the -8 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
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Share the SPOT signal

The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.