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Signal dossier · Q4 2025

NFLX logoNFLX

Netflix · Communication

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale
NEUTRAL
0
3Q BUY
on a signed +100 buy scale · NEUTRAL
Mixed or absent signals. Smart money is not decisively moving.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
0
Buy component
+16
Dissent penalty
−16
Unanimity bonus
+8
Quality differential
-5
Info density
+11
Buyers / Sellers
5 / 2
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
0
Smart money (13F)
+11
Insider activity (Form 4)
+0
Track record (CAGR)
-5
Trend streak
+8
Concentration
+2
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−16
− Crowding penalty
−0
Owners: 3·Buyers: 15·Sellers: 15·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +9.8% ±2.1%·How this is computed
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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling NFLX each quarter — last 2 years.

4 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying
'24 Q1
'24 Q2
'24 Q3
'24 Q4
'25 Q1
1
'25 Q2
1
'25 Q3
2
'25 Q4
Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat
+0 owners over 8Q
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on NFLX for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Consecutive-quarter BUYERS

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on NFLX — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
15 buys · 15 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: NEUTRAL
Q4 2025(7 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Maverick Capital
3.40%
Tiger Global Management
0.80%
Gotham Asset Management
0.10%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
2.90%
Oakmark Funds
4.00%
Viking Global Investors
0.00%
Polen Capital Management
0.10%
Q3 2025(6 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
1.60%
Tiger Global Management
0.70%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Oakmark Funds
3.60%
Polen Capital Management
1.90%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
3.20%
Q2 2025(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Oakmark Funds
3.40%
Viking Global Investors
0.00%
Polen Capital Management
3.40%
Q1 2025(5 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
2.20%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Polen Capital Management
2.60%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
3.30%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Q4 2024(3 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
1.40%
Gotham Asset Management
0.30%
Polen Capital Management
4.20%
Q3 2024(2 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
0.50%
Polen Capital Management
3.50%
Q2 2024(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
2.40%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen Capital Management
3.60%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)
0 buys · 1 sell from corporate insiders
Net: INSIDER SELLING
InsiderValue
Ted Sarandos
Co-CEO
$10.01M

Latest news

Recent headlines for NFLX — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on NFLX

Each bar is one manager’s position size in NFLX as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Streaming profitability turn.
Streaming pivot to profitability.
Streaming profitability turn.

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for NFLX, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of NEUTRAL positioning from 3 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 3 institutional holdings and the 0 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
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Share the NFLX signal

The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.