Signal dossier · Q4 2025

META

Meta Platforms · Technology

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale

SELL

−4

7Q BUY

on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL

7 tracked managers selling. MODERATE sell signal.

Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100

Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding

−4

Buy component

+45

Dissent penalty

−42

Unanimity bonus

+10

Quality differential

-9

Info density

+30

Buyers / Sellers

11 / 7

ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown

13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.

−4

Smart money (13F)

+30

Insider activity (Form 4)

Track record (CAGR)

-2

Trend streak

+10

Concentration

Contrarian bonus

Event signal (8-K)

− Dissent penalty

−42

− Crowding penalty

−6

Owners: 15·Buyers: 58·Sellers: 27·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +11.4% ±4.1%·How this is computed

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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling META each quarter — last 2 years.

43 buy moves·5 sell moves·net buying

'24 Q1

'24 Q2

'24 Q3

'24 Q4

'25 Q1

'25 Q2

'25 Q3

'25 Q4

Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth rising

+5 owners over 8Q

Q1 '24

Q2 '24

Q3 '24

Q4 '24

Q1 '25

Q2 '25

Q3 '25

Q4 '25

More superinvestors are holding this name than 8 quarters ago. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on META for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Consecutive-quarter BUYERS

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on META — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity

58 buys · 27 sells across tracked 13F filings

Net signal: STRONG BUY

Q4 2025(18 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Small add — already a top Lone Pine position.	Add 3.00%	+15K	6.40%
John ArmitageTier 1 Egerton Capital Adding Meta.	Add 15.00%	+120K	7.20%
François RochonTier 1 Giverny Capital Quality compounder add.	Add 12.00%	+22K	6.20%
Li LuElite Himalaya Capital Adding to the compounder.	Add 15.00%	+75K	12.80%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management Quality compounder add.	Add 10.00%	+30K	3.40%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors 37.53% add — Q4's biggest META buyer.	Add 78.00%	+1.09M	1.02%
Jeffrey UbbenElite ValueAct Capital Activist continuing to build META exposure.	Add 10.00%	+152K	8.10%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital Big META add — conviction build.	Add 50.00%	+777K	2.93%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Adding to top position. Tiger Global conviction.	Add 18.00%	+650K	13.40%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Buy (new)	+2.67M	11.40%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Add 12.00%	+474	0.00%
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management Small META profit-taking.	Reduce 6.00%	-333K	8.20%
Chuck AkreTier 1 Akre Capital Management Trimming META exposure.	Reduce 10.00%	-297K	3.10%
Terry SmithTier 1 Fundsmith Small META trim.	Reduce 8.00%	-320K	6.50%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management Small META profit-take.	Reduce 8.00%	-95K	9.10%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Sell (exit)	-76K	0.00%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management Major META reduction.	Reduce 22.00%	-965K	4.10%
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)	Reduce 17.00%	-891K	2.40%

Q3 2025(14 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management TCI massively adding META — biggest move of the quarter.	Add 47.00%	+8.99M	5.83%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management Building META conviction.	Add 22.00%	+195K	9.80%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Buy (new)	+76K	1.40%
Li LuElite Himalaya Capital Compounder add.	Add 18.00%	+76K	11.80%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management Quality compounder add.	Add 12.00%	+32K	3.20%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors Big Viking META add.	Add 45.00%	+1.28M	1.13%
Jeffrey UbbenElite ValueAct Capital ValueAct META add.	Add 26.00%	+321K	1.85%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Major META build — the biggest Tiger Global move.	Add 45.00%	+1.30M	11.20%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Add 47.00%	+70K	1.80%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Buy (new)	+538	0.00%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Add 8.00%	+266	0.00%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Reduce 21.00%	-343K	7.10%
Terry SmithTier 1 Fundsmith	Reduce 56.00%	-2.01M	5.80%
Michael Burry Scion Asset Management	Sell (exit)	-100K	0.00%

Q2 2025(14 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management First major META add — 3 Q consecutive building.	Add 30.00%	+5.10M	4.20%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Steady META add.	Add 6.00%	+28K	6.00%
Chuck AkreTier 1 Akre Capital Management Small META add — later reversed.	Add 8.00%	+240K	3.30%
Li LuElite Himalaya Capital Compounder add.	Add 10.00%	+44K	10.20%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors First of three consecutive META adds.	Add 25.00%	+480K	0.80%
Jeffrey UbbenElite ValueAct Capital ValueAct first entered META here.	Buy (new)	+1.20M	6.20%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital Starting to build META conviction — 3 Q chain.	Add 20.00%	+290K	2.10%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Add 34.00%	+898	0.00%
Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors	Buy (new)	+338	0.00%
Michael Burry Scion Asset Management	Buy (new)	+100K	12.80%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 27.00%	-150K	4.60%
Terry SmithTier 1 Fundsmith	Reduce 8.00%	-315K	11.40%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Reduce 15.00%	-247K	0.90%
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)	Reduce 7.00%	-420K	3.00%

Q1 2025(8 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management TCI first entered META here.	Buy (new)	+3.40M	3.20%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Add 12.00%	+60K	3.80%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors Viking first entered META here.	Buy (new)	+380K	0.60%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital Maverick first entered META here.	Buy (new)	+210K	1.60%
David RolfeTier 1 Wedgewood Partners	Reduce 13.00%	-10K	9.60%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Reduce 14.00%	-279K	8.80%
Terry SmithTier 1 Fundsmith	Reduce 15.00%	-678K	10.20%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 91.00%	-28K	0.00%

Q4 2024(8 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management TCI accelerating META build.	Add 38.00%	+6.10M	3.50%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management Building META conviction.	Add 25.00%	+220K	9.00%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Steady META.	Add 8.00%	+35K	5.80%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Tiger Global aggressive META rebuild.	Add 50.00%	+1.48M	9.40%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors Viking META build.	Add 32.00%	+580K	0.70%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 9.00%	+141K	1.20%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Add 22.00%	+120K	5.20%
Terry SmithTier 1 Fundsmith	Reduce 6.00%	-310K	11.40%

Q3 2024(10 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management TCI building META.	Add 28.00%	+4.20M	2.70%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management Building META.	Add 18.00%	+145K	7.50%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Lone Pine META.	Add 6.00%	+28K	5.50%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Tiger Global META rebuild start.	Add 40.00%	+1.10M	6.70%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors Viking META build.	Add 22.00%	+410K	0.60%
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)	Add 6.00%	+338K	2.60%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Reduce 6.00%	-101K	1.20%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 50.00%	-555K	4.20%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Sell (exit)	-808	0.00%
Prem Watsa Fairfax Financial	Sell (exit)	-13K	0.00%

Q2 2024(11 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Chris HohnTier 1 TCI Fund Management TCI's first META position.	Buy (new)	+4.50M	2.00%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management META add.	Add 14.00%	+110K	6.50%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Lone Pine first META.	Buy (new)	+290K	5.00%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Tiger META rebuild continuing.	Add 35.00%	+920K	4.80%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors Viking's first META position.	Buy (new)	+380K	0.50%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Buy (new)	+808	0.00%
Prem Watsa Fairfax Financial	Buy (new)	+13K	0.60%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Sell (exit)	-64K	0.00%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Reduce 9.00%	-167K	1.20%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 11.00%	-136K	6.30%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 57.00%	-42K	0.00%

Q1 2024(2 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management META add.	Add 8.00%	+80K	5.50%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management Tiger META rebuild begins.	Add 25.00%	+700K	3.40%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)

0 buys · 2 sells from corporate insiders

Net: INSIDER SELLING

Insider	Action	Shares	Value	Date
Mark Zuckerberg CEO & Chairman 10b5-1 plan sale — quarterly schedule.	sell	230,000	$141.45M	Feb 8, 2026
Susan Li CFO Routine 10b5-1.	sell	12,500	$7.38M	Jan 22, 2026

Latest news

Recent headlines for META — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on META

Technology sector →

Each bar is one manager’s position size in META as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Chase Coleman

13.4%

“Top position. Built aggressively since 2022 lows.”

Li Lu

11.8%

“Cash flow machine.”

David TepperT1

9.1%

“Quality compounder at reasonable multiple.”

Chris HohnT1

8.2%

“Quality cash-flow machine. Huge Q3 add.”

Jeffrey Ubben

8.1%

“Activist position — pushing capital efficiency.”

John ArmitageT1

7.2%

“Cash flow machine.”

Terry SmithT1

6.5%

“Quality compounder — trimmed Q4.”

Andreas Halvorsen

6.4%

“Top position. Built aggressively through 2025.”

Stephen MandelT1

6.4%

“Core growth position.”

François RochonT1

6.2%

“Cash flow compounder.”

Tom Slater

5.9%

“Cash flow machine.”

Polen Capital

4.1%

“Quality cash flow — trimmed heavily Q4.”

Joel Greenblatt

3.2%

“Cash flow machine post-2022 reset.”

Chuck AkreT1

3.1%

“Recent build — trimmed in Q4.”

Lee Ainslie

2.9%

“Added aggressively in Q4 — 776k share add.”

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for META, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis

Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 15 institutional filers

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 15 institutional holdings and the -4 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings

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Tickers owned by ≥2 of META's holders

Full overlap matrix →

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The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.