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Signal dossier · Q4 2025

UNH logoUNH

UnitedHealth · Healthcare

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale
SELL
−4
3Q BUY
on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL
2 tracked managers selling. MODERATE sell signal.
Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100
Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding
−4
Buy component
+28
Dissent penalty
−32
Unanimity bonus
+8
Quality differential
-6
Info density
+13
Buyers / Sellers
2 / 2
ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown
13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.
−4
Smart money (13F)
+13
Insider activity (Form 4)
+0
Track record (CAGR)
-3
Trend streak
+8
Concentration
+10
Contrarian bonus
+0
Event signal (8-K)
+0
− Dissent penalty
−32
− Crowding penalty
−0
Owners: 2·Buyers: 18·Sellers: 33·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +11.2% ±2.2%·How this is computed
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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling UNH each quarter — last 2 years.

3 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying
'24 Q1
'24 Q2
'24 Q3
'24 Q4
'25 Q1
1
'25 Q2
1
'25 Q3
1
'25 Q4
Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth falling
-3 owners over 8Q
5
6
5
6
4
4
1
2
Q1 '24
Q2 '24
Q3 '24
Q4 '24
Q1 '25
Q2 '25
Q3 '25
Q4 '25

Fewer superinvestors hold this name than 8 quarters ago — rotation out. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on UNH for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on UNH — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity
18 buys · 33 sells across tracked 13F filings
Net signal: STRONG SELL
Q4 2025(4 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Gotham Asset Management
3.10%
Viking Global Investors
1.00%
Polen Capital Management
0.00%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
0.00%
Q3 2025(8 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Gotham Asset Management
2.50%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Appaloosa Management
1.00%
Lone Pine Capital
0.00%
Polen Capital Management
0.00%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
0.00%
Brave Warrior Advisors
0.00%
Scion Asset Management
0.00%
Q2 2025(9 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Berkshire Hathaway
0.60%
Appaloosa Management
11.90%
Lone Pine Capital
3.80%
Gotham Asset Management
2.00%
Brave Warrior Advisors
0.00%
Scion Asset Management
20.00%
Wedgewood Partners
0.00%
Viking Global Investors
0.00%
Polen Capital Management
0.00%
Q1 2025(7 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Viking Global Investors
3.60%
Gotham Asset Management
0.40%
Wedgewood Partners
0.70%
Giverny Capital
0.00%
Polen Capital Management
1.70%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
0.30%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Q4 2024(8 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Giverny Capital
0.00%
Viking Global Investors
3.10%
Lone Pine Capital
0.00%
Tiger Global Management
0.80%
Gotham Asset Management
0.10%
Polen Capital Management
1.50%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
0.30%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Q3 2024(7 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Oakmark Funds
0.00%
Appaloosa Management
1.50%
Lone Pine Capital
3.60%
Viking Global Investors
0.00%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen Capital Management
3.00%
Brave Warrior Advisors
0.00%
Q2 2024(8 moves)
Portfolio manager% portfolio
Lone Pine Capital
3.90%
Tiger Global Management
5.50%
Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)
0.40%
Appaloosa Management
1.50%
Viking Global Investors
0.90%
Gotham Asset Management
0.20%
Polen Capital Management
2.90%
Oakmark Funds
0.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Latest news

Recent headlines for UNH — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on UNH

Each bar is one manager’s position size in UNH as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Healthcare scale.
Healthcare scale + Optum.

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for UNH, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis
Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 2 institutional filers
Powered by Claude Haiku

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 2 institutional holdings and the -4 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings
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Share the UNH signal

The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.