Signal dossier · Q4 2025

AMZN

Amazon · Technology

HoldLens verdict · single −100..+100 scale

SELL

−13

2Q BUY

on a signed −100 sell scale · WEAK SELL

7 tracked managers selling. MODERATE sell signal.

Unified ConvictionScore · −100..+100

Smart money + insider + track record + trend + concentration + contrarian − dissent − crowding

−13

Buy component

+26

Dissent penalty

−39

Unanimity bonus

Quality differential

Info density

+23

Buyers / Sellers

6 / 7

ConvictionScore v5 · 9-layer breakdown

13F superinvestor moves + Form 4 insider trades + 8-K material events. The SEC Signals trilogy.

−13

Smart money (13F)

+23

Insider activity (Form 4)

-5

Track record (CAGR)

-4

Trend streak

Concentration

Contrarian bonus

Event signal (8-K)

− Dissent penalty

−39

− Crowding penalty

−0

Owners: 3·Buyers: 23·Sellers: 37·Buyer-CAGR-weighted expected return: +10% ±3.4%·How this is computed

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8-quarter activity

Distinct managers buying or selling AMZN each quarter — last 2 years.

2 buy moves·0 sell moves·net buying

'24 Q1

'24 Q2

'24 Q3

'24 Q4

'25 Q1

'25 Q2

'25 Q3

'25 Q4

Buyers (new + add)Sellers (trim + exit)

Ownership breadth · 8 quarters

Breadth flat

-1 owners over 8Q

Q1 '24

Q2 '24

Q3 '24

Q4 '24

Q1 '25

Q2 '25

Q3 '25

Q4 '25

The number of superinvestors holding this name has been stable for 8 quarters. See the most-owned names across all tracked managers →

Multi-quarter conviction

Managers who have been moving the same direction on AMZN for 2+ consecutive quarters. Streaks matter far more than single-quarter moves — they reveal thesis conviction, not reactive trading.

Consecutive-quarter BUYERS

Stephen Mandel
Lone Pine Capital
T12Q

Smart money activity

Every tracked 13F move on AMZN — grouped by quarter, ranked by manager quality.

Smart money activity

23 buys · 37 sells across tracked 13F filings

Net signal: STRONG SELL

Q4 2025(13 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
David RolfeTier 1 Wedgewood Partners	Buy (new)	+58K	2.60%
Seth KlarmanTier 1 Baupost Group	Buy (new)	+2.12M	9.30%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Add 92.00%	+401K	4.30%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Buy (new)	+3.13M	1.90%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Add 65.00%	+3.78M	14.30%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 27.00%	+1.92M	1.10%
Warren BuffettTier 1 Berkshire Hathaway	Reduce 77.00%	-7.72M	0.20%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 13.00%	-321K	7.30%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Reduce 14.00%	-397K	4.10%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management	Reduce 9.00%	-1.03M	7.80%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 23.00%	-645K	6.90%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 23.00%	-2.59M	8.50%
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)	Reduce 7.00%	-2.27M	5.70%

Q3 2025(8 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Buy (new)	+437K	2.40%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 26.00%	+1.44M	1.00%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 7.00%	-200K	7.40%
François RochonTier 1 Giverny Capital	Sell (exit)	-1K	0.00%
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Reduce 44.00%	-2.22M	4.50%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Sell (exit)	-3.90M	0.00%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 19.00%	-2.68M	8.00%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 7.00%	-352K	1.50%

Q2 2025(11 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Building Amazon.	Add 8.00%	+175K	6.50%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Add 8.00%	+190K	9.20%
François RochonTier 1 Giverny Capital	Buy (new)	+1K	0.00%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Add 43.00%	+1.18M	2.50%
Bill AckmanElite Pershing Square Capital	Buy (new)	+5.82M	9.30%
Chase ColemanElite Tiger Global Management	Add 62.00%	+4.10M	6.90%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Add 15.00%	+360K	7.80%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Add 111%	+2.47M	1.70%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Sell (exit)	-137K	0.00%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Reduce 7.00%	-409K	1.00%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 22.00%	-3.83M	9.40%

Q1 2025(6 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Add 15.00%	+564K	7.20%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 11.00%	+592K	1.10%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Reduce 58.00%	-192K	0.90%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 32.00%	-1.10M	6.80%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 9.00%	-1.80M	10.60%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 31.00%	-998K	0.70%

Q4 2024(9 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital Adding Amazon.	Add 10.00%	+200K	6.70%
Stanley DruckenmillerTier 1 Duquesne Family Office	Buy (new)	+328K	1.90%
Joel GreenblattElite Gotham Asset Management	Add 8.00%	+406K	1.50%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 19.00%	-600K	8.80%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Reduce 36.00%	-1.44M	1.90%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 7.00%	-250K	10.20%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 24.00%	-6.20M	11.60%
Tom SlaterElite Baillie Gifford (Long Term Global Growth)	Reduce 6.00%	-2.42M	6.10%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 12.00%	-458K	0.90%

Q3 2024(7 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Stephen MandelTier 1 Lone Pine Capital	Add 23.00%	+1.03M	7.60%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 8.00%	-275K	8.90%
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Reduce 56.00%	-5.24M	2.80%
Lee AinslieElite Maverick Capital	Reduce 27.00%	-1.40M	9.30%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 13.00%	-3.88M	12.40%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 11.00%	-463K	0.90%
Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors	Reduce 36.00%	-800	0.00%

Q2 2024(5 moves)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Andreas HalvorsenElite Viking Global Investors	Add 35.00%	+2.39M	6.90%
David TepperTier 1 Appaloosa Management	Reduce 9.00%	-353K	10.90%
Polen CapitalElite Polen Capital Management	Reduce 14.00%	-4.79M	14.40%
Bill Nygren Oakmark Funds	Reduce 17.00%	-834K	1.40%
Glenn Greenberg Brave Warrior Advisors	Reduce 19.00%	-500	0.00%

Q1 2024(1 move)

Portfolio manager	Activity	Share change	% portfolio
Michael Burry Scion Asset Management	Sell (exit)	-30K	0.00%

Insider activity

What the company's own executives and directors are doing — buys are highly bullish.

Insider activity (Form 4)

0 buys · 2 sells from corporate insiders

Net: INSIDER SELLING

Insider	Action	Shares	Value	Date
Jassy Andrew R President and CEO	sell	31,000	$7.91M	Apr 17, 2026
Jassy Andrew R President and CEO	sell	31,000	$7.91M	Apr 17, 2026

Latest news

Recent headlines for AMZN — context for the moves above.

Who’s betting biggest on AMZN

Technology sector →

Each bar is one manager’s position size in AMZN as a % of their portfolio. Longer bar = bigger conviction bet. T1 badge marks the highest-quality track records.

Tom Slater

8.7%

“20-year hold. Core position.”

Stephen MandelT1

6.9%

“Cloud + retail optionality.”

David TepperT1

6.4%

“Cloud + retail dual engine.”

AI thesis

An AI-synthesised investment thesis for AMZN, based on the 13F data above. Generated on demand — not stored or pre-computed.

AI thesis

Claude Haiku synthesis of SELL positioning from 3 institutional filers

Generate a 2-paragraph investment thesis synthesising 3 institutional holdings and the -13 conviction score.

Related smart-money signals

Derived from the same 13F filings

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Same owners hold these

Tickers owned by ≥2 of AMZN's holders

Full overlap matrix →

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The HoldLens signal dossier shows the unified −100..+100 ConvictionScore alongside live prices, multi-quarter trend detection, insider activity, and real-time news. Not investment advice. Methodology.